Service Plays Thursday 06/18/09

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Rays Wednesday night.

Today it's the Rays and Mariners. The surplus is 975 sirignanos.
 
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Hondo

June 18, 2009

Hondo, who had a win with the White Sox wiped out yesterday when Floyd failed to ascend the hill, took a loss last night when the Metamucils failed to get in the flow in Baltimore, which sliced the earnings to 370 kittles.

Tonight, he'll go with the Jersey boy, Mazzaro, in LA -- 10 units on the A's.
 

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Rated Picks

Wash Nationals/NY Yankees UNDER 10.5
Cincinatti Reds -110
Tampa Bay Rays -105
Seattle Mariners -105
Toronto Blue Jays +150 *(1/2 of normal bet)
 

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Maddux confirmed picks

#961 - MLB - 3 units on Tampa Bay -107
#964 - MLB - 3 units on San Diego -104
#971 - MLB - 3 units on Arizona -138
#974 - MLB - 3 units on St. Louis -105
#975 - MLB - 3 units on Oakland +133
 

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Florida (32-35) at Boston (40-25)

The streaking Red Sox send left-hander Jon Lester (5-5, 4.76 ERA) to the hill at Fenway Park to wrap up a three-game interleague series with the Marlins, who are scheduled to counter with right-hander Ricky Nolasco (2-6, 7.62).

Boston has taken the first two games of this series by scores of 8-2 and 6-1 and has now won seven of its last eight overall and five straight at home to surge into first place in the American League East. The Red Sox, who now have the best record in the A.L., are on additional runs of 12-3 overall, 57-19 in interleague play, 40-12 in interleague home contests, 41-14 on Thursday and a lengthy 88-37 at Fenway.

The Marlins, who had won three in a row entering this series, are now just 8-19 in their last 27 games as an underdog. They have fared well against southpaws, with current streaks of 6-1 overall and 14-5 on the road.

The Red Sox have now won five of the last six in this interleague rivalry and five of the last six in Boston.

With Lester on the hill, Boston has won three in a row and eight of 11, including a 5-2 victory at Philadelphia on Friday night in which the lefty allowed just two hits, two walks and one run while striking out 11 in seven innings. That effort followed a complete-game, 8-1 home win over Texas. Lester, who has given up exactly one run in three straight starts and four of his last five, is 3-2 with 4.06 ERA in six home starts this season.

The Sox are on further runs behind Lester of 6-0 against the National League East, 8-1 in interleague play and 24-5 at home. In Lester’s lone career start against Florida in 2006, he surrendered two runs on seven hits in five innings, getting a no-decision in Boston’s 4-3 victory in South Beach.

Florida is 2-4 in Nolasco’s last six starts, with the righty going 1-4 and getting pounded for 28 earned runs in 31 2/3 innings (7.95 ERA). However, since returning from a brief demotion to Triple-A, Nolasco has been much more effective, allowing just four earned runs in 13 innings in two starts. On Friday at Toronto, he gave up two runs on five hits and a walk, striking out nine over six innings in a 7-3 victory.

Despite the strong outing in Toronto, Nolasco is still only 1-3 with a 7.12 ERA in seven road starts this year, and this is his first career meeting with Boston. With Nolasco throwing, the Marlins are on slides of 1-5 overall against winning teams and 1-4 on the road against winning teams.

The under for Boston is on tears of 21-7-3 overall, 6-0-2 at home, 4-1 with Lester starting, 6-0-1 with Lester going on five days’ rest and 5-1 behind the lefty in interleague action. On the flip side, the over for Miami is on rolls of 5-1-1 overall, 21-6-5 in interleague action, 7-1-2 in interleague roadies, 9-2 behind Nolasco this season and 6-0 with the righty throwing on the road.

Finally, in this rivalry, the over is on upticks of 5-3-1 overall and 4-1-1 in Boston.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON


Detroit (34-31) at St. Louis (36-30)

The Tigers wrap up an 11-game road trip by trotting out upstart rookie right-hander Rick Porcello (7-4, 3.71 ERA) as they try to avoid getting swept by the Cardinals, who will hand the ball to fellow righty Joel Pineiro (5-7, 3.99).

Detroit got pounded 11-2 Tuesday in the series opener, then came back Wednesday and fell 4-3. The Tigers have dropped four in a row and are now 4-6 on their current road trip, scoring a total of 19 runs in their last seven games. Despite the recent struggles, Detroit remains on hot streaks of 45-21 in interleague play, 13-8 in interleague road games and 23-13 against the N.L. Central.

Prior to taking the first two games of this series, the Redbirds had lost seven of nine overall and four straight at home. They’re now 11-3 in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record, and they’ve won 11 consecutive Thursday contests.

Going back to the start of the 2006 season, the home team has won 14 of the last 16 head-to-head clashes in this rivalry, including the World Series.

Detroit has won seven of Porcello’s last eight starts, including a 3-1 victory Friday at Pittsburgh in which the 20-year-old allowed one run on six hits and a walk in seven innings. Porcello has gone 6-1 with a 2.52 ERA in those eight games, throwing 46 1/3 innings. He is 4-2 with a 3.25 ERA in six road starts this season, and the Tigers have won four of his last five on the highway.

The Cardinals have lost four in a row behind Pineiro, mostly due to poor run support, with St. Louis scoring just nine total runs in that span. On Friday at Cleveland, the 30-year-old yielded three runs on seven hits and two walks in 6 1/3 innings of a 7-3 loss. Pineiro is 3-2 with a 2.52 ERA in five home starts this year, and he’s a solid 6-1 with a 2.82 ERA in 10 career appearances (eight starts) against the Tigers.

St. Louis is 5-2 in Pineiro’s last seven outings at Busch, but it has also come up empty in the rigthy’s last five interleague starts.

The Tigers are on a bundle of “under” streaks, including 21-8 overall, 5-2 on the road, 12-4-1 in interleague road games and 22-7 against right-handed starters. Also, St. Louis is on “under” tears of 11-5 at home, 15-7-1 against right-handed starters, 6-1-1 against the American League and 7-1 in interleague home games. Finally, the under is 5-2 in the last seven Tigers-Cardinals meetings at Busch Stadium.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DETROIT and UNDER
 

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RON RAYMOND’S EARLY MLB GAME WINNER! (11-0 SITUATION INCLUDED)


Pick # 1 Toronto Blue Jays / Philadelphia Phillies Under 10.5 -130
 

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Benjamin lee Eckstein

Ben lee lost on hump day with the Twins -$180/Pirates.

For Thursday "Mr Chalk" is coming right back with the Twinkies -$150/Pirates.

"Mr Chalk" is 1-1 -$80 for the week and 41-27 -$270 for the MLB season.
 

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SportsOddsAndPicks.com for Thursday:

Major League Baseball

UNDER 8.5 RUNS Detroit at St. Louis 8:15 p.m. ET
LA DODGERS -140 (with Wolf) over Oakland 10:10 p.m. ET
 

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igz1 sports

Thursday Card
Wednesday Recap: 2-1 MLB

MLB
3* NY Mets (Hernandez) -120
3* Under 7.5 (-110) Oakland (Mazzero) vs LA (Wolf)

Good Luck
 

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John Fina

San Diego Padres (-115)

Tony Mathews

Colorado Rockies (-105)

Brian Marshall

Houston/Texas Over 10.5 (+115)
 

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Michael Cannon

Michael Cannon

Thursday's Plays...


10 Dime –



TWINS (With Blackburn as listed pitcher)



Take the Twins for the home win this afternoon over the Pirates.



Nick Blackburn gets the nod for Minnesota and he’s going to shut the Buccos down today. The right-hander is 5-2 on the year with a 3.31 ERA. He’s posted seven straight quality starts, going 3-0 with four no decisions during that span.



Blackburn shouldn’t have any problems getting run support this afternoon.



That’s because the Pirates will start Zach Duke, and he pitches to contact which will do him in on the artificial turf. Duke is having a solid season no doubt, but groundball pitchers have problems on the fast carpet and you saw that in the opening game of this series when Paul Maholm was roughed up for the Bucs.



Take the Twins as they grab the home win.



5 Dime –



CARDINALS (With Pineiro as listed pitcher)



Take the Cardinals for the home win tonight over the Tigers.



Joel Pineiro will start for St. Louis and I expect him to get back on track tonight. The right-hander has struggled recently, going 0-3 with a 5.87 ERA in his last three starts. But Pineiro has had good success against the Tigers in his career, going 6-1 with a 2.82 ERA in eight games.



The Tigers will counter with rookie Rick Porcello, who is having a fine season. But this game is being played in St. Louis, which means the youngster has to deal with the NL rules. That means having to hit and the absence of the DH in his lineup.



The Cardinals always have the advantage in that situation with Albert Pujols in the lineup.



Take St. Louis as they grab the home win.
 

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Scott Delaney

Thursday ...
20 DIME TEXAS RANGERS -1' RUNS (Padilla over Backe) - Forget the Angels, the Rangers are proving everyone wrong about their projections for the American League West, and they’re doing it with a prolific offense that ranks seventh in the American League in runs scored and second in the bigs in home runs. I’m looking for the long ball tonight, and I’m banking on plenty of runs, as I think the Rangers smoke Houston for an easy run line victory tonight.



Though neither team has swept the season series since they began playing one another back in 2001, this is the right spot for the Rangers to buck that trend. They’ve won five straight over Houston, they swept the first three-game set back in May and they’re 6-2 in Interleague play this season.



I’ll get to Vicente Padilla in a minute, but let’s start with Houston’s Brandon Backe, who is making his first start of the season, as he replaces Mike Hampton in the rotation after he was placed on the DL due to a strained left groin. Backe, who was 9-14 with a 6.05 ERA in 31 starts for the Astros last season, has had his problems with the Rangers, specifically Michael Young, who went 2 for 5 in last night’s win.



Young is batting .471 (8-for-17) in four games against Houston this season and is a stellar 10-for-13 with two home runs lifetime against Backe, who is 1-2 with a 6.52 ERA in three career starts against Texas



Now, as for Padilla, he’s looking for his fifth win in six starts after last Friday’s impressive 6-0 victory over the Major League-frontrunning Dodgers. He looked good in striking out two and yielding four hits over five innings. The veteran right-hander is 2-0 with a 1.80 in his last two starts against the Astros.



Lay the run line boys, as the Rangers roll to a huge win.



PAID AND COFIRMED BY ME
GOOD LUCK !!and where is CORK?
 

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Trace Adams

PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN - 500* - White Sox-Cubs UNDER (Floyd vs. Zambrano) - 2:20 pm
Don't expect to see too many crooked digits on the Wrigley Field scoreboard this afternoon, as both Gavin Floyd and Carlos Zambrano have been dealing nasty to the hitters.



Floyd comes into this start with just 4 earned runs allowed his last 22 innings of work, while Zambrano has yielded just 2 earned runs in his last 21 innings on the mound.



Throw in the fact the White Sox are on a 6-2-1 UNDER run their last 9, while the Cubs have been UNDER in 3 straight, and 8 of their last 10, and you have the makings of a 3-2 final in the works.



Pitchers rule the roost today at the Friendly Confines, as the White Sox and Cubs hold UNDER the total.



PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN

500♦ - White Sox-Cubs UNDER (Floyd vs. Zambrano) - 2:20 pm



PAID AND CONFIRMED BY ME AGAIN !!!

GOOD LUCK:toast:<><>
 

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